Climate models and variations in the solar constant
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Se da un resumen de los resultados obtenidos por varios autores, que usan modelos climáticos simples con promedios zonales y anuales. Se demuestra que la mayoría de estos resultados puede explicarse fácilmente usando un modelo promediado globalmente. Se demuestra también que, según la parametrización usada, el porcentaje de cambio de constante solar, relativo al valor actual, requerido en el modelo (a) para iniciar una época glacial es de -2 a -5 por ciento, (b) para producir una tierra cubierta de hielo es -6 a -14 por ciento, y (c) para iniciar el proceso de derretimiento en una tierra cubierta de hielo es de -8 a + 33 por ciento. Por lo tanto, el margen de posible error aumenta significativamente al alejarse de las condiciones actuales.
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