Preliminary experiments on the climatic effect of an increase of the atmospheric CO2 , using a thermodynamic mode
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Para calcular el calentamiento debido a una duplicación del C02 atmosférico, se aplica un modelo termodinámico que incluye el ciclo anual del clima y una capa oceánica mezclada. El modelo usa un enfoque nuevo y simplificado para el tratamiento de las variaciones en el calentamiento introducido al incrementar el C02 atmosférico. El aumento promedio anual calculado en el hemisferio norte es de .7°C, con valores de .8ºC en primavera y verano y .6°C en invierno y otoño. Sin embargo, cuando las variaciones del calentamiento distinto de radiación (transporte vertical de calor sensible, evaporación en la superficie y condensación de vapor de agua en las nubes) se desprecian, el promedio anual del aumento calculado es l.4°C. Se demuestra que la capa oceánica mezclada tiene un papel importante en los cálculos.
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