Sea-surface temperature anomalies and hurricane prediction

Abstract

It is known that the sea-surface temperature (T5) is an important parameter which affects hurricane formation and movement. The effect of sea-surface temperature may be expressed in terms of temperature anomalies. This study is an attempt to determine the potential of predicted Ts anomalies in making long-range tropical cyclone prediction. The predicted anomalies were obtained from a model developed by Julian Adem. The results of this preliminary study indicate that the forecasts have some skill.