Hurricane forecasting: a survey

Abstract

Almost all of the recent conferences, seminars and symposia on tropical meteorology and tropical cyclones have included surveys on hurricane forecasting (Dunn, G. E., 1955; Namias, J. et al., 1955), and the Regional Seminaron Tropical Cyclones in Tokyo, January 18-31, 1962 had two (Gentry, R. C., 1962; Kume, T., 1962) or more, Probably all of the U. S. Meteorologists and certainly many of the Mexican, Central American and Caribbean forecaster here are thoroughly familiar with the techniques in common use in tropical cyclone forecasting. Since these subjective and objective techniques have changed little during the past few years there is no justification for taking your time to describe them. However, since most of the surveys have concentrated on the movement of tropical cyclones, the present state of forecasting of all phases of the problem will be discussed briefly.