Estimación local de riesgo sísmico mediante simulación estocástica
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Se presenta un método para la estimación del riesgo sísmico en regiones cuya historia de sismicidad es incompleta Y. para las cuales no se cuenta con datos de aceleración, basado en simulaciones pseudoaleatorias del proceso sísmico con un mínimo de suposiciones. La aplicación de este método a la estimación del riesgo sísmico para la planta nuclear de Laguna Verde, México (basada en suposiciones simplistas), indica que una estimación pesimista del riesgo para un período de 50 años es del orden de 6.0%, para la aceleración de OBE de 0.12g y del orden de 0.97% para la aceleración de SSE de 0.24g.
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