Sea-surface temperature anomalies and hurricane prediction

Main Article Content

Sergio Serra
Enrique Buendía C.

Abstract

It is known that the sea-surface temperature (T5) is an important parameter which affects hurricane formation and movement. The effect of sea-surface temperature may be expressed in terms of temperature anomalies. This study is an attempt to determine the potential of predicted Ts anomalies in making long-range tropical cyclone prediction. The predicted anomalies were obtained from a model developed by Julian Adem. The results of this preliminary study indicate that the forecasts have some skill.

Article Details

How to Cite
Serra, S., & Buendía C., E. (1976). Sea-surface temperature anomalies and hurricane prediction. Geofisica Internacional, 16(3), 151–163. https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.1976.16.3.1118
Section
Article

References

ADEM, J., 1962. On the theory of the general circulation, Vol. 14, No.1, pp. 102-115. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2153-3490.1962.tb00123.x

ADEM, J., 1963. Preliminary computations on the maintenance and prediction of seasonal temperatures in the troposphere. Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 91, No. 8, pp. 375-386. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1963)091<0375:PCOTMA>2.3.CO;2

ADEM, J., 1964. On the physical basis for the numerical prediction of monthly and seasonal temperatures in the troposphere-ocean-continent system. Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 92, No. 3, pp. 91-103. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1964)092<0091:OTPBFT>2.3.CO;2

ADEM, J., 1970. On the prediction of mean monthly ocean temperatures. Tellus 22, pp. 776-786. ADEM, J., 1973. Ocean effects on weather and climate. Geofísica Internacional, Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 1-72. DOI: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.1973.13.1.1121

GRAY, W., 1968. Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms. Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 96, pp. 669-700. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1968)096<0669:GVOTOO>2.0.CO;2

GRAY, W., 1975. Tropical cyclogenesis. Colorado State University Atmospheric· Science Report, pp. 234.