Influence of solar activity on the cyclic variations of precipitation in the Baltic region
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Resumen
En el presente trabajo se analiza la influencia de la actividad solar en la precipitación pluvial, a partir de series de tiempo de Lituania (1910-1993) y Estonia (1866-1993) y utilizando datos del área de las manchas solares (1866-1993). Por medio de métodos espectrales y autoregresivos, se obtienen ciclos significativos en los procesos solares y terrestres con períodos de 6 y 12 meses y de 2.5 y 11 años. El análisis de las series anuales de precipitación de Estonia y de la superficie de las manchas solares revela cambios en el ciclo de 11 años, cuyo período se muestra reducido a 9 años entre 1915 y 1956; se observa también una oscilación con período de 5 años en las últimas seis décadas. Los co-espectros de los procesos solares y climáticos coinciden con los de otros trabajos y indican la naturaleza común de todos los ciclos y la influencia de la actividad solar en la variabilidad climática.
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